Early Midterm Vote Count Shows Democratic Advantage in US... "100% Chance of Retaking House"

As the vote counting for the midterm elections that will determine the power landscape of the U.S. federal legislature proceeds smoothly, the early vote counts show an advantageous trend for the opposition Democratic Party.

Vote counting is underway starting with Kentucky and Indiana, where polls closed the earliest, as of 8:30 p.m. on November 3, Eastern Time.

According to the U.S. election specialist website Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), at this point, the Democratic Party has secured 90 seats and the Republican Party 66 seats out of the total 435 seats in the federal House of Representatives.

It forecasted a 100% probability that the Democratic Party will win and retake majority status in the House for the first time in 4 years.

DDHQ also projects a 72% probability for the Democratic Party to win by securing 51 seats in the Senate (with a 28% probability of a Republican victory).

None of the 7 battleground states that will decide the outcome of the Senate have been decided yet, but these also show an advantageous trend for the Democrats.

However, because mail-in and early votes, which are considered to have more Democratic-leaning voters, are being counted first in the early stages, it is still too early to predict which party will take the Senate majority.

Looking specifically at the current status of vote counting in Senate battleground states, in Ohio, with 35% of the votes counted, Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown is leading with 56.80% of the vote against Republican candidate Jon Husted (39.72%).

In Texas, with 30% of the votes counted, Democratic candidate James Talarico is leading with 56.87%, ahead of Republican candidate Ken Paxton (41.55%).

Democratic candidates are also ahead in other battleground states where vote counting is still under 30%, such as Kansas, Michigan, and Maine.

Even excluding Iowa and Alaska, where vote counting has not yet begun, the party that takes 4 out of the 7 battleground states will secure the Senate majority, meaning that if this trend solidifies, the Democrats will win.

Furthermore, in South Carolina, where various pre-election polls showed Republicans with a slight advantage, Democratic candidate Annie Andrews is pulling ahead with 52.52% of the vote against Republican candidate Lindsey Graham (45.95%) with 46% of the votes counted.

NBC News has begun announcing candidates projected to win region by region, utilizing its own prediction system.

In the federal Senate elections, NBC reported that victories are projected for candidates including Mark Warner (Democrat, Virginia), Jon Ossoff (Democrat, Georgia), Ed Markey (Democrat, Massachusetts), Jack Reed (Democrat, Rhode Island), Cory Booker (Democrat, New Jersey), Raja Krishnamoorthi (Democrat, Illinois), Chris Coons (Democrat, Delaware), Chris Pappas (Democrat, New Hampshire), Roy Cooper (Democrat, North Carolina), Ashley Moody (Republican, Florida), and Shelley Moore Capito (Republican, West Virginia).

In the gubernatorial elections, it projected victories for candidates such as Josh Shapiro (Democrat, Pennsylvania), Maura Healey (Democrat, Massachusetts), Wes Moore (Democrat, Maryland), JB Pritzker (Democrat, Illinois), and Helena Foulkes (Democrat, Rhode Island).
 

(Photo: AP, Yonhap News)
※ Please note: This article was translated by AI and may contain errors.