EU Births Halved in 60 Years; Population Projected to Fall Below 400 Million by 2100

The population of the European Union is projected to peak in 2029 before entering a downward trend, with estimates suggesting it will fall below the 400 million mark by 2100.

According to the latest EU population statistics report released on July 14 (local time), the EU's current population of 450.6 million is expected to reach a maximum of 443.3 million in 2029 before experiencing a gradual decline.

Consequently, the EU population in 2100, the final year of this century, is estimated to reach 398.8 million, an 11.7% decrease from current levels, falling short of the 400 million threshold.

AFP reported that this population size, falling below 400 million, would be the first such figure seen since the 1970s.

The most notable statistic regarding the EU's demographic shift is the decline in the number of births.

The number of annual births, which stood at 6.8 million in 1964, dropped to 3.5 million in 2024, marking a nearly 50% decrease over 60 years.

The aging of the population has also become pronounced, driven by advancements in medical technology and improvements in living conditions.

The population aged 65 and over, which currently accounts for one in five EU residents, is projected to increase significantly to one in three by 2050.

By 2100, life expectancy is predicted to exceed 90 years for women and 86 years for men.

The EU pointed out that these demographic changes could lead to labor shortages, the deterioration of public finances, and increased burdens on healthcare, caregiving, and education systems.

However, the report also noted a positive aspect, anticipating that the so-called silver economy will emerge as a new growth engine as the market for goods and services tailored to the elderly expands.
※ Please note: This article was translated by AI and may contain errors.