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US Intelligence: Iran Grew More Confident Through War, Raising Prospects of Protracted Conflict

Jeong Gyeong-yun

Published : Sep 5, 2026 11:22 AM


▲ A billboard in Tehran, Iran, featuring the face of Donald Trump

U.S. intelligence agencies have assessed that Iran has grown significantly more confident in its military capabilities through its conflict with the United States.

According to The New York Times, U.S. intelligence officials stated in a recent report that Iran has bolstered its confidence in its military power through the war.

The assessment indicates that Iran has clearly identified its military strengths during the conflict and, based on this, has solidified its conviction that it can adequately withstand a long-term war with the United States.

Representative Jason Crow, a member of the House Intelligence Committee, said, "Iran is currently viewing its situation quite optimistically," adding, "They have suffered significant damage, but such damage was inherent to their regime from the beginning."

He further noted, "Iran is pursuing a much more long-term strategy than before."

In fact, assessments suggest that Iran's ruling foundation has rather solidified through this war.

The leadership, which had been divided under the long-standing theocratic system, has strengthened its cohesion centered around hardliners, while internal opposition forces have diminished.

With its missile and drone forces still maintaining a substantial level, control over the Strait of Hormuz has established itself as a powerful negotiating card for Iran.

According to officials briefed by U.S. intelligence, Iran believes that it is not easy for the U.S. military to launch large-scale additional attacks.

The analysis suggests that the possibility of large-scale strikes against Iran has also decreased as U.S. military missile and ammunition stockpiles have dwindled.

There are also analyses that Iran intends to drag out the war at least until the U.S. midterm elections in November to increase the political burden on U.S. President Donald Trump.

Representative Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) said, "Iran currently believes it holds maximum leverage," adding, "Is there any reason why they wouldn't continue to pressure the President?"

The analysis suggests that similar forms of provocations could continue in the coming weeks, akin to how Iran attacked a U.S. military base in the Middle East last month, killing three Americans, and struck vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.